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Posted: Sun Dec 23, 2018 5:57 am
After four teams clinched playoff spots Sunday and two more were eliminated, the eight teams that will participate in the first year of the WNBAs new postseason format are just about set. Only Washington still has the chance to play spoiler, knocking out 2014 champion Phoenix.Still, entering the final week of the regular season, the order of those teams after the top three remains up in the air. In the new playoff format, that means a bye to the second round is still up for grabs. To help understand how that might play out, I simulated the outcome of all remaining games 1,000 times based on teams season-long point differential (adjusted for schedule) and home-court advantage. Lets take a look at the team-by-team results of those simulations.1. Minnesota LynxAverage wins: 28.2 No. 1 seed: 100 percentThe Lynx effectively clinched the first seed by beating Los Angeles in their tie-breaking third and final meeting of the season Wednesday at the Staples Center. Sundays win over San Antonio, in conjunction with a Sparks loss, made it official. The only remaining question is how much Minnesota coach Cheryl Reeve will rest players in remaining games at Chicago and Indiana and home against Atlanta. Since all three teams are in the playoffs, the Lynxs strategy could have a ripple effect on other seeding.2. Los Angeles SparksAverage wins: 25.6 No. 2 seed: 100 percentL.A. coach Brian Agler conceded the battle for the top seed on Sunday, resting starters Nneka Ogwumike and Kristi Toliver in a loss at Seattle. Well see whether they play on Tuesday against Phoenix; Fridays finale against the Stars has no playoff implications. Because of the early finish and a bye to the semifinals, the Sparks will have more than a week and a half between games.3. New York LibertyAverage wins: 22.2 No. 3 seed: 100 percentPlaying without starting guard Tanisha Wright and key reserve Kiah Stokes, as well as backup guard Shoni Schimmel and more recently wing Shavonte Zellous, the Liberty have lost three of their five games so far in September. Fortunately, the lead New York built over the rest of the league before this month was big enough that the Liberty have already clinched third place and a much-needed bye to the second round.4. Indiana FeverAverage wins: 17.4 No. 4 seed: 54.5 percent No. 5 seed: 25.5 percent No. 6 seed: 17.3 percent No. 7 seed: 2.7 percentHeres where things start to get interesting. The fourth seed nabs the other bye to the second round and three teams still have a realistic chance at it: Indiana, Atlanta and Chicago, all currently tied at 16-15. The Dream are actually projected to fare marginally better over the last three games on average than Indiana by virtue of an easier slate, but the Fevers big edge is in tiebreakers. Indiana won the season series with Atlanta, Chicago, Phoenix and Seattle, and thus finishes atop basically any tie scenario.5. Atlanta DreamAverage wins: 17.5 No. 4 seed: 32.2 percent No. 5 seed: 42.0 percent No. 6 seed: 15.8 percent No. 7 seed: 7.1 percent No. 8 seed: 2.9 percentThe Dream have the widest possible range of realistic outcomes, falling anywhere from a bye to the second round to being the lowest-seeded team in the playoffs in at least 2.9 percent of simulations. Atlanta wants to avoid ties if possible. The Dream only have the edge against Chicago among the teams in contention for the last five seeds.6. Chicago SkyAverage wins: 17.2 No. 4 seed: 12.4 percent No. 5 seed: 25.5 percent No. 6 seed: 45.9 percent No. 7 seed: 15.7 percent No. 8 seed: 0.5 percentOf the three teams currently tied for fourth, the Sky have the most difficult remaining schedule on paper. Chicago faces two teams -- the Lynx and the Liberty -- that have already clinched, and those games might not prove as difficult as they look in the simulation. The Sky also have to travel to Seattle to finish the regular season, a game that could end up deciding home-court advantage between the two teams in the first round of the playoffs.7. Seattle StormAverage wins: 16.1 No. 4 seed: 0.8 percent No. 5 seed: 4.9 percent No. 6 seed: 16.8 percent No. 7 seed: 57.4 percent No. 8 seed: 20.1 percentNobody is heading into the playoffs hotter than the Storm, who are 6-2 with a league-high plus-7.4 point differential since the Olympic break against a difficult schedule. While Seattle took advantage of a short-handed L.A. squad in an 18-point win Sunday, the Storm have won as many road games in five attempts since the break as in 11 road games before it (three apiece). Thats allowed Seattle to go from scrapping just to make the playoffs to a better than 1-in-5 chance of hosting a first-round game.8. Phoenix MercuryAverage wins: 15.5 No. 4 seed: 0.1 percent No. 5 seed: 2.1 percent No. 6 seed: 4.2 percent No. 7 seed: 17.1 percent No. 8 seed: 75.9 percent Lottery: 0.6 percentWhile the Mercury havent yet clinched a playoff spot, a lot would have to go wrong for them to end a disappointing season in the lottery. The bigger question is whether Phoenix can climb out of the eighth seed. That would require the Mercury beating the Storm in a crucial matchup Thursday night in Phoenix. Seattle would still hold the head-to-head tiebreaker by virtue of winning the first two meetings between the teams, so the Mercury need to win out to assure the seventh seed (or better).9. Washington MysticsAverage wins: 13.4 No. 8 seed: 0.6 percent Lottery: 99.4 percentTwo games back with three to play, the Mystics are firmly in so youre telling me theres a chance territory. Their only path to the playoffs is winning out while Phoenix loses out. Wholesale Air Max For Sale . Duchene scored two goals and had an assist, helping the Colorado Avalanche beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2 on Friday night to match the best 10-game start in team history. Cheap Wholesale Air Max . The scientists believe the small earthquake during a Marshawn Lynch touchdown was likely greater than Lynchs famous "beast quake" touchdown run three years ago, which also came against New Orleans during a playoff game. http://www.airmaxauthentic.com/ . Blackwood, 28, has played the last three seasons in the San Diego Padres system, including the past two summers with Class AA San Antonio of the Texas League. Wholesale Air Max . Giroud, who wasnt in the starting lineup for two matches after allegations about his private life and a decline in form, scored twice in the first half. Tomas Rosickys chip made it 3-0 before half time at Emirates Stadium, while defender Laurent Koscielny scored an unmarked header in the second half. Wholesale Air Max Shoes Sale . It just didnt show when he hit the ice. Berra made 42 saves and Kris Russell scored at 1:32 of overtime, lifting the Calgary Flames to a 3-2 victory over the Chicago Blackhawks on Sunday night. CANTONSVILLE, Md. -- Jairus Lyles hit four 3-pointers and scored 24 points as UMBC cruised to a 90-68 win over Delaware State on Wednesday night.The Retrievers (3-0) have won three straight to open the season.Lyles made nine of his 14 shots and pulled down seven rebounds. K.J. Maura hit three 3s and finished with 19 points and six assists for UMBC, who were 10-of-21 shooting from long range. Nolan Gerrity added 13 points and 10 boards for the Retrievers.UMBC used aa 25-6 scoring stretch that turned an 18-17 lead into a 43-23 advantage at the break.ddddddddddddGerrity started the outburst with a layup, followed by a Lyles 3-pointer and Mauras layup.Delaware State (1-2) never seriously threatened in the second half.DeAndre Haywood scored 20 points to lead the Hornets. DeVaughn Mallory had 13 points. cheap falcons jerseys cheap ravens jerseys cheap bills jerseys cheap bears jerseys cheap bengals jerseys cheap cowboys jerseys cheap lions jerseys cheap texans jerseys cheap colts jerseys cheap jaguars jerseys cheap chiefs jerseys cheap rams jerseys cheap dolphins jerseys cheap vikings jerseys cheap saints jerseys cheap giants jerseys cheap jets jerseys cheap eagles jerseys cheap steelers jerseys cheap 49ers jerseys ' ' '